The low pressure area (LPA) east of Mindanao has rapidly developed on Sunday into a tropical depression with local name “Ulysses,” the 21st cyclone to form within the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) this year.
Should the cyclone’s projected track not change, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Ulysses will likely make landfall over Bicol region by Wednesday.
As of 10 p.m. Sunday, the location of Ulysses was estimated around 800 kilometers east of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur, with maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 55 kph.
It is currently moving northwest at 15 kph.
Over the next three days, Ulysses may intensify and reach the tropical storm category, with maximum wind speed of 62 to 88 kph, within 24 to 36 hours.
It could further intensify and become a typhoon, with maximum wind speed of 118-220 kph, prior to its landfall.
PAGASA said Ulysses has no direct effect yet over any portion of the country as of Sunday but the winds and rainfall associated with the tropical cyclone may begin to affect portions of Eastern Visayas and Bicol region by Tuesday or Wednesday.
It also said tropical cyclone wind signal number 1 may be raised over some areas in Bicol region or Eastern Visayas as early as Monday evening or Tuesday morning in anticipation of the onset of strong breeze to near gale conditions associated with the tropical depression.
In the next 24 hours, PAGASA said the combined effects of the circulation of Ulysses and the prevailing easterlies or the warm and humid winds coming from the Pacific will bring moderate to rough seas over the eastern seaboards of the country.
Those using small boats were advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea, while inexperienced mariners were asked to avoid navigating in these conditions.
Based on its projected track, Ulysses will likely be at 655 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar by Monday evening; 400 km east of Virac, Catanduanes by Tuesday evening; and 75 km northeast of Virac by Wednesday evening.
Meanwhile, tropical depression “Tonyo” may still bring moderate to heavy rains and occasional gusts over Kalayaan Islands as it has yet to leave the PAR on Monday.
The tail-end of a cold front associated with the northeast monsoon or “amihan” enhanced by Tonyo may also bring moderate to heavy rains over Abra, Apayao, Benguet, Ifugao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Aurora, Cagayan, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, and Aurora, while light to moderate with at times heavy rains may prevail over Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Bataan, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Tarlac, Zambales, Batanes, and Babuyan Islands.
Residents in areas that are susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides were asked to stay vigilant.