After typhoon “Quinta” (international name: “Molave”), the tropical depression east of the country may also make landfall over the Bicol region as a typhoon by Sunday, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
PAGASA weather specialist Ariel Rojas said the tropical depression was last spotted at 1,910 kilometers (km) east of Central Luzon, which is still outside the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) around 4 p.m.
It has maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 70 kph, moving west-northwest at 10 kph.
It is anticipated to further strengthen into a tropical storm (with maximum wind speed of 62 kph to 88 kph) prior to its entry into the PAR on Thursday morning or afternoon.
Rojas said it may further intensify into a severe tropical storm (maximum wind speed of 89-117 kph), and then into a typhoon (with maximum wind speed of 118 to 220 kph) while moving west over the Philippine Sea within 48 to 72 hours.
It will likely make landfall over the Bicol region as a typhoon by Sunday and traverse the southern island of Luzon on its way to the West Philippine Sea, he added.
Rojas said moderate to heavy with at times intense rains may affect Bicol, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, and Visayas as it traverses Southern Luzon.
These may lead to widespread floods and landslides, while its high winds can knock down trees and high-risk structures, he warned. Storm surges and rough seas are also possible.
The tropical depression is still far and gathering strength thus the projection may still change, Rojas said, as he advised the public to continue monitoring developments regarding this weather disturbance.
The cyclone has no direct effect yet over the country as of Wednesday, but its initial effect may be felt more likely towards the end of the week.
So far, the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) or the merging of winds coming from the northern and southern hemispheres, is the prevailing weather system affecting Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao region, Soccsksargen, Leyte, and Bohol.
Cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms may affect these areas.
Batanes and Cagayan will have light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms due to the tail-end of a frontal system.
Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers.